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3 Services Stocks Facing Headwinds

ICFI Cover Image

Business services providers play a critical role for enterprises, assisting them with everything from new hardware integrations to consulting and marketing. But increasing competition from AI-driven upstarts has tempered enthusiasm, and over the past six months, the industry has pulled back by 3.9%. This drop was worse than the S&P 500’s 1% loss.

Investors should tread carefully as many of these companies are also cyclical, and any misstep can have you catching a falling knife. Keeping that in mind, here are three services stocks best left ignored.

ICF International (ICFI)

Market Cap: $1.59 billion

Operating at the intersection of policy, technology, and implementation for over five decades, ICF International (NASDAQ:ICFI) provides professional consulting services and technology solutions to government agencies and commercial clients across energy, health, environment, and security sectors.

Why Do We Avoid ICFI?

  1. Sales pipeline suggests its future revenue growth may not meet our standards as its average backlog growth of 1.6% for the past two years was weak
  2. Sales are projected to tank by 7.1% over the next 12 months as demand evaporates
  3. 5.2 percentage point decline in its free cash flow margin over the last five years reflects the company’s increased investments to defend its market position

ICF International is trading at $86.10 per share, or 12.4x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than ICFI.

CSG (CSGS)

Market Cap: $1.81 billion

Powering billions of critical customer interactions annually, CSG Systems (NASDAQ:CSGS) provides cloud-based software platforms that help companies manage customer interactions, process payments, and monetize their services.

Why Do We Pass on CSGS?

  1. 3.4% annual revenue growth over the last two years was slower than its business services peers
  2. Anticipated sales growth of 2.2% for the next year implies demand will be shaky
  3. Shrinking returns on capital from an already weak position reveal that neither previous nor ongoing investments are yielding the desired results

At $67.09 per share, CSG trades at 13.7x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with CSGS, check out our full research report (it’s free).

Verisk (VRSK)

Market Cap: $42.18 billion

Processing over 2.8 billion insurance transaction records annually through one of the world's largest private databases, Verisk Analytics (NASDAQ:VRSK) provides data, analytics, and technology solutions that help insurance companies assess risk, detect fraud, and make better business decisions.

Why Do We Think Twice About VRSK?

  1. 1.9% annual revenue growth over the last five years was slower than its business services peers
  2. Earnings growth over the last two years fell short of the peer group average as its EPS only increased by 8.8% annually

Verisk’s stock price of $301.79 implies a valuation ratio of 41.7x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including VRSK in your portfolio.

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